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Let's Check
the Markets!
Today's First
Look:
mornings
with cash and futures reviewed- includes where the Cash
Cattle market stands, the latest Feeder Cattle Markets
Etc.
Okla
Cash Grain:
Futures
Wrap:
Feeder
Cattle Recap:
Slaughter
Cattle Recap:
TCFA
Feedlot Recap:
Our Oklahoma Farm Report
Team!!!!
Ron Hays, Senior Editor and
Writer
Pam Arterburn, Calendar and
Template Manager
Dave Lanning, Markets and
Production
Leslie Smith, Editor and
Contributor | |
Oklahoma's
Latest Farm and Ranch News
Presented
by
Your
Update from Ron Hays of RON
Friday, December 18,
2015 |
Howdy
Neighbors!
Here is your daily Oklahoma farm and ranch
news update.
| |
Featured
Story:
House
Passes Tax Extenders Package, Expected to Pass
Omnibus Today- And the Senate Likely to Vote for
Both Today as
Well
The
U.S. House Thursday passed the tax bill
which includes Section 179 expensing and bonus
depreciation-tax measures deemed helpful for
agriculture. The House voted 318-109 to pass the
measure and was expected to vote on the omnibus
spending bill Friday morning. Votes on both
measures are also expected on Friday in the
Senate. The Senate is expected to
combine the $622 billion tax bill along with the
$1.1 trillion spending bill.
A key element
of the Omnibus spending package for agriculture is
the partial repeal of Mandatory COOL, removing the
obligation for labeling for pork and beef.
That is moving forward because of the pressure of
a WTO ruling against the US COOL rule which has
resulted in a billion dollar per year retaliation
being readied against the US economy.
With
repeal of mandatory country-of-origin meat
labeling part of the spending bill making its way
through Congress Friday, Canadian officials are
pleased, however, that doesn't mean they won't
stop retaliation efforts just yet. Agri-Pulse
reported Thursday that Canadian trade officials
vowed not to stop their efforts until the repeal
is signed by the president.
Trade
officials from Canada and Mexico were scheduled to
meet with the World Trade Organization today to
receive final authorization for retaliatory
tariffs. WTO could authorize the tariffs effective
immediately, before a bill could be signed.
Canada's ag minister said earlier this week he was
"cautiously optimistic this will lead to a
resolution," but added "the bottom line is it must
be repealed or we will retaliate."
|
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National
Association of Conservation Districts Supportive
of Omnibus Spending Bill that Invests in
Conservation
According
to the President of the National Association
Conservation Districts, Lee
McDaniel, there were pluses and minuses
for Conservation in the Omnibus Budget deal that
is nearing final passage in the
Congress. The negative is a cut in funding
for EQIP, while the positive is that several other
programs saw increases in the appropriation
process. While the Environmental Quality
Incentives Program was cut there were several
provisions in the bill worth
highlighting: An increase in Conservation
Operations funding to $850,856,000; An
increase in funding for State and Private Forestry
to $237,023,000; An increase in funding
for wildland fire management to $816,745,000;
Continuation of current funding for the
enrollment of 10 million acres in the Conservation
Stewardship Program (CSP); Continuation of
current funding levels for Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) 319 grants ($164,915,000);
and an allotment of $271,000,000 for
emergency conservation funding programs including
the Emergency Watershed Protection Program, the
Emergency Conservation Program and the Emergency
Forestry Restoration Program. More from
the Thursday NACD news release is available
here.
|
Terry
Detrick of AFR Reviews 2015, Previews
2016
The
President of the American Farmers and Ranchers,
Terry Detrick of Ames, is pleased
with the end of year work in the US House and
Senate, as lawmakers vote on the Omnibus Spending
Bill and the Tax Package that will wrap up work in
Congress in 2015. In talking with us on Thursday,
Detrick says he was pleased that the Congressional
leadership honored an earlier promise to the
Chairmen of the Senate and House Ag Committees to
restore cuts made to Crop Insurance earlier in the
fall. Detrick was also pleased to see Section 179
depreciation being made permanent after the last
couple of years seeing the tax planning tool
enacted by Congress in December for just that
year. Detrick, in looking back at
2015, is happy that Oklahoma is now out of drought
that has been a dominant part of the Oklahoma
weather scene the last several years. The moisture
has positioned the 2016 winter wheat crop to be in
really great shape as it goes into winter
dormancy- unlike the crop that was struggling at
this time in 2014. The general farm
organization President does worry about farm
income, with crop prices at low levels- and the
thirty percent drop in cattle prices seen here in
the final days of 2015 versus earlier in the
calendar year. As for 2016- click here to read and to
listen Detrick's outlook for the new year.
AND- be watching Saturday
morning as Terry Detrick joins us for our
In the Field segment as seen on KWTV News9 during
their Saturday morning news block- our In the
Field segment runs around 6:40
AM. |
Corn
Prices Likely to Remain Low as 2015 Ends- Waiting
for Fresh Data in the New Year
According
to one of the leading feed grain market analysts
in the US, Dr. Darrel Good of the
University of Illinois, "corn prices declined
following the USDA's Crop Production report
released on November 10 and continue to trade just
above marketing year lows. The rate of corn
consumption has increased in recent weeks, but the
market is skeptical that consumption will increase
enough to alter the prospects for abundant
year-ending stocks. "On January 12, the
USDA will release the final estimate of the size
of the 2015 corn crop and an estimate of the
magnitude of corn stocks that were being held on
December 1. Those estimates will reveal the pace
of corn consumption during the first quarter of
the 2015-16 marketing year as well as the
inventory of corn available for consumption during
the remainder of the marketing year. Those
estimates will allow for an updated projection of
the level of stocks likely to be on hand at the
end of the marketing year and will set the tone
for corn prices into the spring of the
year." There's more from Dr. Good- you can
read his complete end of the year market analysis
by clicking or tapping
here.
|
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|
Oklahoma
State's Derrell Peel Calls Current Cattle Market
an Emotional Whirlwind as 2015 Comes to a Close
The
last half of 2015 has been an "emotional
whirlwind" for those involved in the beef cattle
business. Those are the words of Oklahoma State
University Extension Livestock Market Economist
Dr. Derrell Peel. Dr. Peel
offered that description of the second half of the
year to yours truly in a special end of year look
at the beef cattle market. The veteran
cattle market watcher says that when you consider
the fundamentals that "most any analyst you would
talk to would say we have overdone this thing-
there are some real problems there- we've got some
heavy weight feeder cattle and we've got a little
issue with some heavy weight fed cattle in the
midst of relatively tight supplies- but it has
created a little supply problem." He adds "we
probably don't need to be down as hard as we are
and have markets as defensive as they are" and
that the market may be headed for some sidways
action as we begin the new year. Click here for today's
Beef Buzz with Dr. Peel- it's the first of
three segments on the Beef Buzz with Derrell Peel
as we review 2015 and preview
2016. |
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|
Corn
and Sorghum Harvest Quality Reports Indicate
High-Quality, Abundant Crops
The
overall quality of the United States' 2015 corn
and sorghum crops was good, with 94 percent of
corn samples and 92 percent of sorghum samples
rated at quality grade Number 2 or better in the
U.S. Grains Council's newly-released 2015-2016
Corn Harvest Quality Report and Sorghum Early
Harvest Quality Report. The U.S. Grains
Council said Thursday both reports are already
being rolled out to international customers in
conferences, seminars and one-on-one consultation
meetings held by USGC staff members around the
world. The reports help the Council promote U.S.
corn and sorghum products to international
buyers. This is the first year for the report
on sorghum and the fifth year for the report on
U.S. corn. Click here to learn more
about the promotional efforts for grain
sorghum that the US Grains Council has been doing
in Latin America (and a link to review the quality
report). You can click here to check
the 2015 Corn Quality report courtesy of the US
Grains
Council. |
Later
Today- Final Cattle on Feed Report for
2015
At
2 PM central time this afternoon, USDA will be
releasing their final Cattle on Feed numbers for
2015- Rich Nelson with Allendale
has shared with us his estimates for the feedlot
cattle count:
"November Placements are
expected to be 0.8% smaller than last year at
1.780 million head. This is the second smallest
November placement since the current data-series
started in 1996. USDA's cattle feeding margin
suggests a $456 per head loss on outgoing cattle
assuming a very conservative 1,250 finished steer
($166 breakevens vs. $130 sales). This would be
twelve months in a row of losses. Live cattle fell
from $138 at the start of the month to $127 at the
end. Corn averaged $3.59 in Western Kansas in
November ($3.76 in October, $3.77 in November
2014). November placements supply the April
through August slaughter period.
"Allendale anticipates a
Marketing total 2.4% higher than
November 2014. 2015 had one more weekday and one
less Saturday than 2014 which
artificially inflated the number. Additionally,
don't forget that this is compared against a very
small November 2014 number, -11.1% from 2013. Our
1.510 million head estimate is the second smallest
November since 1996.
"Total Cattle on Feed
as of December 1 is 1.7% larger than last year.
That is a decline from the November 1
total of +2.1%."
We plan on touching base
with Tom Leffler of Leffler
Commodities after the report is released this
afternoon- and get his take on the On Feed numbers
from Uncle Sam- we'll be sharing those numbers
later today on the website and next Monday in our
morning
email.
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