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Your Update from Ron Hays of RON
USDA Sees Much
Smaller Kansas and Oklahoma Wheat Crops Than Were Measured by Wheat
Scouts One Week Ago
is a significant gap between what the crop scouts saw last week- and
what USDA reported Tuesday morning, based on May first data,
regarding the potential size of the 2016 winter wheat crops in both
Oklahoma and Kansas.
The discrepancy is about ten percent in the Kansas number- USDA
calling the Sunflower State's wheat crop a 352.6 million bushel crop-
versus the 382 million bushel crop predicted by the Wheat Quality
Council's estimate made last Thursday.
But- the difference between the Scouts and the USDA on the Oklahoma
wheat crop size is more like twenty percent- USDA calling it a 105.6
million bushel crop and the Scouts offering expectations for a 130
million bushel crop.
USDA predicts a smaller yield for Oklahoma- and a lot fewer harvested
acres than the predictions of last week- and that's how they get to
the bottom line of 105 million.
We break down the numbers and offer links back to last week and to
yesterday's USDA number- which also includes the USDA thinking on
Texas and more. Click
here for our report- which is our Top Ag Story this morning.
we also have coverage
of the WASDE numbers from Tuesday- which really charged up the
Soybean futures as they were forty cents higher after the report was
released- tighter stocks based on increased exports and less
competition from South America gave soybeans the leadership in the ag
futures complex on Tuesday.
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New Poll: Americans Overwhelmingly
Support Farmers, Farm Policy, Crop Insurance
Nearly 90 percent of Americans have a favorable view of farmers, and
92 percent said it was important to provide them with federal
funding, according to a new national poll released today. Furthermore,
positive marks cut across party lines, showing that a strong farm
policy is a bipartisan issue.
"Americans overwhelmingly like farmers and support the programs
that protect them," explained Jon McHenry, vice president of
North Star Opinion Research, the polling firm that explored the
general public's views on farmers, farm policy and crop insurance.
"This response is not surprising when you consider that eight in
10 voters believe a vibrant agricultural industry was critical to the
country's national security."
More than 70 percent of voters also said they believed that farmers
should help fund part of their own safety net. This cost-sharing
structure is at the heart of America's crop insurance policy, with
farmers paying a portion of their insurance premiums and shouldering,
on average, 25 percent of crop losses through deductibles.
Read more of the results from the poll by clicking
From a Business Point of
View- Angus Breed is Killing It in First of Half of Their Current
The American Angus Association's more than 25,000 members continue to
set the pace for the beef cattle industry, bolstered by a growing
demand for registered Angus genetics nationwide.
According to reports released by the Association, breeders have
registered 7 percent more Angus animals during the first half of the
fiscal year compared to the same time period a year ago. Association
reports for March alone showed an 18 percent boost in registrations
compared to the same month in 2015.
"The Angus business is performing really well halfway through
the year," said Allen
Moczygemba, association CEO. "We're on pace
again for an outstanding year in registrations following one of the
breed's best years on record. If we continue this growth, we could
see our fifteenth-largest registration level in the history of our
133-year-old organization. That's significant from a historical
perspective since Angus comprises a larger portion of market share
today in the total U.S. cattle inventory."
More on the first half of the Angus fiscal year available
EPA Provides Section 18
Help for Sugarcane Aphid in Oklahoma
Dow AgroSciences announced that the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) has granted Section 18 emergency use exemptions in nine
more states for the application of Transform® WG insecticide for
control of sugarcane aphids in sorghum. Texas recently
received a Section 18 approval, and now Section 18 approvals have
been issued in Alabama,
Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina,
Oklahoma and Tennessee for 2016.
"Sugarcane aphids continue to be a problem and sorghum growers
in affected states need an effective control option like Transform to
combat this devastating pest," says Todd Pilcher,
product manager, Dow AgroSciences.
Sugarcane aphids first appeared in sorghum in 2013, mostly in Texas
and Louisiana, but the last two years have spread across 14 states.
Sugarcane aphids feed on plant sap, causing the foliage to turn
purple and yellow, thereby reducing yield. The pest also produces a
sticky honeydew that collects on leaves and stalks, creating reduced
harvest efficiency and clogged combines.
More on the Section 18 for Oklahoma is available
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Ag Alliance Explores Protecting the Future of Animal Agriculture at
I regret not being able to get out to Arlington, Va for the 2016
edition of the Animal Ag Alliance Summit on Animal Agriculture last
week- and judging by the reports- there was a lot of good info to
chew on at the sessions.
Last week on Day 2- they focused on several aspects of how to protect
the future of animal ag from attacks from those who want to destroy
this part of production agriculture.
For example- Dr.
Wes Jamison, Associate Professor of Public
Relations, Palm Beach Atlantic University was a featured speaker on
the tactic utilized by anti animal ag activists in regards to
religion and meat in the diets of humans.
"Your primary opponents have no fear in using religion for
persuasive purposes," said Jamison. But if they're "going
to use a source they need to use it correctly."
Old Testament Professor Walter
Kaiser told the Summit "There is a plain
misunderstanding or deliberate reinterpretation of the text.
Activists retranslate God's mandate to say something different in
their favor" and "cherry pick certain phrases and give them
a spin not aligned with the author's intentions."
"You have nothing to fear," said Jamison as he wrapped up
the panel discussion with a reassuring message. The Bible "gives
you permission and applauds you for doing so. You have the truth on
your side." (kudos to Roy
Lee Lindsay for having Dr. Jamison at the Oklahoma
Pork Expo a couple of years ago offering a similar message.)
Other issues tackled last week at the Summit was using Social Media
to tell the modern animal ag production story and how to deal with
misinformation- where ever it comes from.
or tap here to read more of the summary of day two from the
Animal Ag Alliance Summit- and click
here for an earlier summary of day one from that same meeting.
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Ambassador Filing Trade Complaint in WTO Against China Over Chicken
U.S. Trade Representative Michael
Froman says the U.S. will request the World Trade
Organization take action against China for failing to eliminate its
anti-dumping duties on U.S. chicken exports. The National Chicken
Council and the U.S. Poultry and Egg Export Council applauded the
announcement Tuesday in a joint statement.
In 2013, a WTO dispute settlement panel found that China's
anti-dumping and countervailing duties violated its WTO obligations.
Despite that decision, China has still refused to remove these
duties. The two poultry groups said jointly "we are heartened to
see that USTR will not back down when it comes to enforcing our
rights, and in making sure we truly get the market access we
Also cheering the decision by the USTR's office is the American Farm
Bureau. Their President, Zippy
Duvall, says of the decision "We are
enthusiastic supporters of Ambassador Froman's action."
He adds that "Trade enforcement is an essential part of an
effective trade policy. Farm Bureau supports trade that brings fair
prices to farmers and good nutrition to a rapidly-growing population
around the world. We applaud USTR for pursuing this
More details about the move by Ambassdor Froman are available
Today in History- It Was
a Very Dirty Day
The website History.Com is featuring one of the
biggest dirt storms of the 1930s on this day in history.
their account- "On this day in 1934, a massive storm sends
millions of tons of topsoil flying from across the parched Great
Plains region of the United States as far east as New York, Boston
They point to the massive plowing up of the Great Plains in the early
part of the 1900s- and how by the early 1930s- there was little to
keep the top layer of soil from moving once it was dry enough.
The account picks up in 1931- "a severe drought spread across
the region. As crops died, wind began to carry dust from the
over-plowed and over-grazed lands. The number of dust storms reported
jumped from 14 in 1932 to 28 in 1933. The following year, the storms
decreased in frequency but increased in intensity, culminating in the
most severe storm yet in May 1934. Over a period of two days, high-level winds
caught and carried some 350 million tons of silt all the way from the
northern Great Plains to the eastern seaboard.
According to The New York Times, dust "lodged itself in the eyes
and throats of weeping and coughing New Yorkers," and even ships
some 300 miles offshore saw dust collect on their decks."
This storm was the spring before what is called Black Sunday- which
happened on April 15, 1935. But it was the storm in 1934 that
got the attention of Americans living in the east that something was
wrong- and that allowed Black Sunday to become a trigger for the
establishment of the Soil Conservation Service that started farmers
and ranchers on the path to become the stewards of the soil that is
almost a given here in 2016.
here to read the full account of that day in May 1934- a very
dirty day in the history of the Great Plains.
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