~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Oklahoma's latest farm and ranch news
Your Update from Ron Hays of RON for Monday August 13, 2007!A service of Farm Credit of East Central Oklahoma & Midwest Farm Shows
-- Oklahoma FFA remains one of the "Elite" States Based on Success in getting Finalists to Indianapolis!
-- Farm Bureau Economist Believes its Downhill from here on Corn Yield Prospects!
-- Ardmore the place to be this Past Saturday as well as the beginning of this week!
-- We talk GPS with Dr. Randy Taylor of OSU
-- More Mintert- Predicting Cattle Prices for the Balance of 2007.
-- Great Gobs of Grazing Land- The 2007 Grazing Land Conference is this Thursday and Friday!
-- Self Inflicted Stupidity- The "Lynching" of Sound Science!
Here's your morning farm news headlines from the Director of Farm Programming for the Radio Oklahoma Network, Ron Hays. We are proud to welcome Farm Credit of East Central Oklahoma as a regular sponsor of our daily email update. Farm Credit of East Central Oklahoma has ten branch offices to serve your farm financing needs and is dedicated to being your first choice for farm credit. Check out their website for more information by clicking here!
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Oklahoma FFA remains one of the "Elite" States Based on Success in getting Finalists to Indianapolis!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Oklahoma FFA is tied for the most National Finalists in 2007 with Wisconsin when it comes to FFA members that are National Finalists in the Profiency Award Competition that will be judged in Indianapolis as a part of the 80th Annual Convention of the FFA Organization.
Both Oklahoma and Wisconsin have 18 National Finalists in the Proficiency Awards- while California has 16 finalists and Georgia advances 14. Oklahoma is also one of three states that will have multiple Star Finalists in the four National Stars in Agriculture event. Nocona Cook of Cordell is a regional Star in Production Agriculture, while Chance Simpson of the Timberlake FFA Chapter will compete as a Regional Star in the Star in Agricultural Placement division.
Details on the event each of these young people we list here are
involved in can be found in the link we have provided below- but included
in the 18 that are National Finalists heading for Indy in October are
Christopher Ivy of Perry, Holly Hiebert of Fairview, Colin Lowe of
Ninnekah, Slade Nightengale of Cordell, Bobby Kokojan of Waukomis, Sierra
Simpson of Kremlin-Hillsdale, and Sage Shoulders of Oilton.
Farm Bureau Economist Believes its Downhill from here on Corn Yield Prospects!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~As expected, the Agriculture Department's August crop production report predicts corn production to be up considerably from a year ago, while soybean and cotton production are expected to be down. The wheat crop also was revised down from July's report. Specifically in regard to corn and soybean yields, however, AFBF economist Terry Francl says this month's numbers may be the peak for the year.
The USDA pegs corn production at 13.1 billion bushels, up 24 percent from last year and 17 percent above 2005. The corn yield is forecast at 152.8 bushels per acre, up from the previous report's 150.3 bushels per acre. That was above the 151-bushel average estimated by a group of crop analysts, according to Francl. Overall, in its supply and demand report, USDA sees a 200-million-bushel increase in corn use, offsetting much of the 214-million-bushel increase in production, as projected by the 2007/08 corn ending stocks figure, which was raised 14 million bushels to 1.516 billion bushels.
"The fact that the corn use increase offset the production increase may take some of the price negativity out of the production report," Francl said. "Some also may take a pessimistic view on USDA's yield forecast given the hot temperatures for the heart of the Corn Belt." Francl explained that while the August survey does measure actual field conditions, such as corn plant population and the length and circumference of corn ears, USDA surveyors do not strip back the husk and get a row and kernel count. That does not occur until the September crop report.
"Given the developmental delays due to the two-week delay in planting activity in much of the Corn Belt in early May, the pollination time for this late planted corn was pushed back into the more harsh summer weather," Francl said. "There have been anecdotal reports in the past week, after the USDA Aug. 1 survey was completed, that suggest the kernel fill on the ear on the later planted corn is much less than normal. That plus the outlook for continuing hot and dry weather in much of the Corn Belt suggests that future yield estimates could well deteriorate."
Ardmore the place to be this Past Saturday as well as the beginning of this week!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~The 17th Annual Southern Plains Beef Symposium had excellent attendance this past Saturday, as several hundred cattle producers gathered for the full day of education, opportunities to visit with the exhibitors at the trade show and even enjoy a big slab of prime rib. We enjoyed steering them through the morning program as moderator, as they heard the big picture in weather and how you need to consider long range trends in your planning for your farm or ranch, a market outlook as well as how high energy costs as well as other challenges are shaping our ability to survive and thrive in the cattle business.
Starting yesterday, the annual Oklahoma RC& D Conference is underway at the same facility in Ardmore, their beautiful and very functional convention center that is located right on I-35. They have a busy meeting schedule today and tomorrow, with their theme for 2007, Traditions and Transitions. One of their keynote speakers today is Steve Rhines of the Noble Foundation who will speak on Cellulosic Ethanol with an Oklahoma Perspective.
We have their program brochure linked below for those that may want to check out this event that wraps up tomorrow.
We talk GPS with Dr. Randy Taylor of OSU
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~While at the Ag Technology Field Day this past week, we had a video photographer join us from News 9 to record several segments that we will be utilizing in the days ahead- and one of the segments that came out of that work was seen this past Saturday on our regular In the Field with Ron Hays as seen on KWTV News9 out of Oklahoma City. Our regular slot of 7:40 am on Saturday morning is in their morning news and weather block between 6 and 8 am.
We talked with Dr. Randy Taylor of OSU about the use of GPS in agriculture and how it has helped change agriculture for the better- from planting to spraying chemicals to control pests and weeds to harvest.
We thought some of you might want to see this segment- it shows off some of the big spray rigs that were seen at the field day- so take a look via the link below!
More Mintert- Predicting Cattle Prices for the Balance of 2007.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~It was a quick return engagement for K-State Extension Livestock Market Economist Dr. Jim Mintert as he was in Ardmore over the weekend for the 17th annual Southern Plains Beef Symposium. Last month, he talked cattle prices and trends at the annual Convention of the Oklahoma Cattlemen's Association in Midwest City.
On Saturday, he repeated several themes that he had discussed with the OCA membership earlier. However, I heard one issue that he brought up that I had not heard earlier at OCA- and we will feature that comment tomorrow in our Beef Buzz as heard on the Radio Oklahoma Network. I will tell you this morning that it was about what he thinks was the major driving factor in the late 1990s early 2000s uptick in beef demand.
Today, we focus on the Beef Buzz on cattle price outlook the balance of 2007 with Mintert. He admits that he was among those who were fooled by the price strength of the cattle market this summer. He thinks we could drift a little lower than the cash prices of this last week at the $90 level- but says he still sees slaughter cattle values back into the upper 90s the latter part of the year. Regarding yearling prices- he says we are fully at the same levels we were a year ago on yearling cattle prices- and the key to whether or not we hold those values into the fall depends on the fall direction of corn prices. Click below and hear today's Beef Buzz with Jim Mintert for his crystal ball reading.
Great Gobs of Grazing Land- The 2007 Grazing Land Conference is this Thursday and Friday!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~To ranchers ready for something other than another long winter (or droughty summer) of pitching hay, managing cattle and pasture for grazing year-round is an idea worth investigating. Speakers will address ways to do just that and more at the sixth annual Oklahoma Grazing Lands Conservation Association (OLGCA) conference. Grazing Lands Dollar$ and Sense: Managing for Year- round Grazing will be held August 16th and 17th at the Biltmore Hotel at I-40 and Meridian in Oklahoma City.
While the deadline for registration that guarantees you lunch and proceedings, you can still call and see if you can do a late registration by calling Kim Barker at 580-824-9011 or Steve Glasgow at 405-742-1235.
This year's lineup of speakers features grazing luminaries Jim Gerrish, Terry Gompert, and Greg Judy. Together, the three will focus on ways of extending the grazing season for as much of the year as possible. Topics include matching livestock demand and forage supply, planning for successful winter grazing, why you should be out of the hay business, using native range in the winter, stockpiled perennial forages, use of winter annuals and crop residues, and fencing tools and techniques for winter grazing. We have linked the website for the Grazing Lands group below- they have more information on the program that happens this Thursday and Friday at the Biltmore.
Self Inflicted Stupidity- The "Lynching" of Sound Science!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~I got a call from one of the Channel 9 news reporters this past week asking me for sources within the dairy industry to talk to her about rising milk prices. I made a few suggestions and didn't think a whole lot more about it- until I saw the story over the weekend about milk prices going up globally.
As I read it, the reasons given were logical enough- demand overseas for milk products, higher grain prices here at home- but as I read the article, the light in my cynical brain went on- and I remembered an editorial from Hoards Dairyman that Michael Marlow of Monsanto had sent me a while back. I had meant to use this back in the spring- but it always got pushed back a little and never got in the mix.
I remembered this article because it talked about the nimrods who demagogue modern technology at every opportunity- and when they can't win the scientific battle- they move on and try to find the weakest link in the marketing chain to force their views on everyone. The opponents of rBST technology which in simple terms allows a cow to turn up her metabolism and produce more milk have been getting in the face of various supermarket chains and food service outlets- hoping to convince someone that their view of science was right and the general scientific community was wrong. They have succeeded in several cases, as detailed in this article entitled "Self Inflicted Stupidity"- and we have ourselves a winner as to one of the significant reasons that milk prices are higher- we have handicapped our milk producers with these pseudo science arguments. Click on the link below- it's an editorial worth reading!!!
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