From: Ron Hays [ron@oklahomafarmreport.ccsend.com] on behalf of Ron Hays [ron@oklahomafarmreport.com]
Sent: Thursday, September 11, 2008 7:11 AM
To: ron@oklahomafarmreport.com
Subject: Oklahoma's Farm News Update
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Oklahoma's latest farm and ranch news
Your Update from Ron Hays of RON for Thursday September 11, 2008!
A service of Producers Cooperative Oil Mill, Farm Credit Associations of Oklahoma and Midwest Farm Shows!
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-- Ike Aims for Texas- Will Likely Dump Lots of Rain on Oklahoma
-- What He Said- Senator Obama Calls NFU
-- Worries for the Southern Plains Cotton Crop
-- Next BQA Opportunity Coming September 30 in Lawton
-- Wyoming Keeps Bangs Free Status
-- Missouri's Grimes and Plain Say Domestic Demand Down- Export Demand Up in 2008 for Beef and Pork
-- Dates Set for Oklahoma Grow Conference- Nov 12-13 in Oklahoma City
-- Let's Check the Markets!

Howdy Neighbors!

Here's your morning farm news headlines from the Director of Farm Programming for the Radio Oklahoma Network, Ron Hays. We are excited to have as one of our new sponsors for the daily email Producers Cooperative Oil Mill, with 64 years of progress through producer ownership. Call Brandon Winters at 405-232-7555 for more information about rotating some of your winter wheat acres into winter canola this year- and check out the full story on PCOM on their website by clicking here.

It's also great to have the Farm Credit Associations of Oklahoma with us regularly as an Email Sponsor- Financing Oklahoma is their business! Check out their website which shows their locations statewide by clicking here!
And our email this morning is also a service of Midwest Farm Shows, producer of the annual Tulsa Farm Show held each December, as well as the springtime Southern Plains Farm Show in Oklahoma City. Check out details of both of these exciting shows at the official website of Midwest Farm Shows by clicking here.

If you have received this by someone forwarding it to you, you are welcome to subscribe and get this weekday update sent to you directly by clicking here.


Ike Aims for Texas- Will Likely Dump Lots of Rain on Oklahoma
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The very latest track out for Hurricane Ike is that it will land along the Texas coast early Saturday morning- somewhere around Victoria, texas according to Meterologist Gary England. It's a big storm- very wide- and the impact from Ike will include the usual things for a Hurricane- the storm surge, high winds, tornados and a huge amount of rain. Rain is what we will likely get from Ike by late Saturday and into Sunday. The 4 AM track has Ike hitting texas- and still a tropical storm early Sunday and on the east side of Dallas- from there- the current track predicts that Ike could turn more northeasterly- which might make the amount of rain that western Oklahoma receives a lot less significant.

We talked with Gary England about Ike, as well as some cold Canadian air that he thinks could bring at least one morning of freezing temps to the upper midwest by early next week. Our conversation with Gary is linked below and found on our website, WWW.OklahomaFarmReport.Com.

Click here for Gary Engtland's take on Ike and what he may bring to Oklahoma.


What He Said- Senator Obama Calls NFU
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It was a very brief phone call- but when it comes from one of the two men that will likely be the next President of the United States- you pay attention to pretty much every word. Senator Barack Obama called the National Farmers Union on Tuesday during their Congressional Fly-In, and spent just a couple of minutes on the phone saying hi to Tom Buis, as he thanked the NFU for giving him their Golden Triangle Legislative Award- the award handed out to lawmakers who voted with NFU on issues they deemed important during the 110th Congress(they honored none of the Oklahoma lawmakers this year)

He did address the Renewable Fuel Standard- says he is strongly in favor of it- which is contrasted with the Republican position at their convention of saying federal mandates on renewable fuels should end and that the market should determine the direction to go in biofuel production.

He also talked in general terms about improving rural infrastructure and then hurried on. We have the transcript of what was said by the Senator as provided to us by the NFU office in Washington- it's linked below on our website.

Click here for more on Senator Obama's comments to NFU


Worries for the Southern Plains Cotton Crop
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Cotton growing in North Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas, while maturing rapidly, still has problems. Setbacks earlier in the growing season from excessive wind and rain, coupled with a period of dry weather, are the main culprits in the crop's growing season, according to reports from agronomists at Texas A&M and Oklahoma State University. Reports from the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, from this past Monday, find only 10 percent of Texas cotton in excellent condition. Oklahoma cotton reports only 11 percent in excellent condition and Kansas with 10 percent.

Results of the weekly survey show Texas cotton conditions at 31 percent good, 32 percent fair, 18 percent poor and nine percent in very poor condition. Oklahoma's crop is in similar condition with 34 percent good, 38 percent fair, 13 percent poor and four percent in very poor condition. Kansas' cotton crop shows 50 percent in good condition, 25 percent in fair condition, 10 percent poor and five percent in very poor condition. At the same time of year in 2007, 10 percent of the Texas cotton was reported to be excellent, 39 percent in good condition, 28 percent fair, 14 percent poor and six percent in very poor condition.

USDA estimates for the 2008-09 cotton crop are 35,000 harvested acres in Kansas, 170,000 harvested Oklahoma acres and 3,400,000 harvested acres in Texas. Average yield in harvested pounds of lint per acre for the 2008 crop are estimated to be 603 pounds in Kansas, 819 pounds in Oklahoma and 734 pounds in Texas, according to the USDA-NASS August, 2008, crop production report. These numbers will be revised tomorrow morning when we have a chance to see the September Crop Production estimates at 7:30 AM central time.
(Our thanks to NTOK for providing this perspective on these cotton numbers from across the three states.)


Next BQA Opportunity Coming September 30 in Lawton
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One calendar item that I wanted to call your attention to this morning is the September 30th Southwest Stocker Conference, to be held in Lawton. A significant part of the 2008 Southwest Stocker Conference will be Beef Quality Assurance training- which will offer certification to producers that go through these sessions.

Oklahoma Beef Quality Assurance (OBQA) is part of a national program that provides guidelines for beef cattle production. The program raises consumer confidence through offering proper management techniques and a commitment to quality within every segment of the beef industry.

Beyond the BQA training- Derrell Peel, OSU Cooperative Extension livestock marketing specialist, will lead the opening session. Peel will discuss the current market situation and outlook, focusing on wheat pasture cattle and detailing how supply, demand, export markets and weather are affecting the potential profitability of wheat-stocker operations.
Dave Lalman, OSU Cooperative Extension beef cattle specialist, will then help participants examine how they might best manage stocker enterprises on wheat given high wheat prices, high fertilizer inputs and high value of gain for cattle.
Check with your local OSU Extension office for more details- or go to our calendar page and scroll down to September 30 for more information about the Southwest Stocker Conference.

Click here for more on the Southwest Stocker Conference from our Calendar section of WWW.OklahomaFarmReport.Com


Wyoming Keeps Bangs Free Status
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The USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service has granted an extension to the owner of a brucellosis infected herd of cattle near Daniel, Wyo. to depopulate the herd. Wyoming State Veterinarian Walter Cook says the rancher has until Oct. 5, 2008 to slaughter all sexually intact animals in the herd. Cook says the rancher felt this would be the best choice; otherwise he would have had to quarantine the herd for a year and get three negative tests over the course of the year.

"He realized that to "test-out" would require his herd to remain under quarantine for at least 12 months and it would have been very difficult to operate under those conditions in the spring and summer," Cook says. "He also realized it would cause problems with the herds that had fence-line contact with his herd."

As a result the State of Wyoming will keep its Brucellosis-Free status, however if another herd is found with brucellosis in the next two years, Wyoming will likely lose that status.
Their neighboring state, Montana, has already lost that status- blaming Brucellosis that is found in the wildlife population of that state as the source of infection found in the cattle population of the state.


Missouri's Grimes and Plain Say Domestic Demand Down- Export Demand Up in 2008 for Beef and Pork
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Domestic demand for both beef and pork fell, while broiler and turkey demand rose so far this year, according to the University of Missouri. The January-July demand index calculated by University of Missouri economists Glenn Grimes and Ron Plain showed domestic beef demand down 3.7 percent, pork demand down 3.9 percent, broiler demand up 0.8 percent and turkey demand up 3.5 percent from a year ago.

Despite the evidence that cash-strapped consumers are opting for cheaper protein alternatives, demand for live cattle and live hogs rose in the same period, buoyed by strong exports and smaller imports. In the weekly Cattle and Hog Outlook reports, the economists said January-July demand for live hogs jumped 8.9 percent beyond last year, while demand for live cattle rose 1.5 percent in the January-July period. The report noted that net beef imports as a percentage of production declined to 3.6 percent from 7.9 percent during the same period last year.

The economists said current cattle futures prices are probably overly optimistic, noting the beef supply in the first half of 2009 is expected to be down 1 percent to 2 percent, which would mean demand would have to increase 4 percent to 5 percent to achieve current futures prices. "It is possible, but probably not the most likely with the weak general economy," the economists wrote.


Dates Set for Oklahoma Grow Conference- Nov 12-13 in Oklahoma City
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It's not just weddings that we get "save the date" announcements on- it's also many of the meetings that we report on for you- for example, we just got a "Save the Date" word for the Oklahoma Grow Conference for 2008- a continuing look at the biofuel efforts here in the state. The announcement says "Discover the impact of Oklahoma's biofuels future. Hear developments on proposed agricultural funding, legislation, recent demonstration projects and ethanol studies, carbon control policies and more."

The date set is November 12 and 13- with the conference staying in downtown Oklahoma City- but moving over to the Hilton Skirvin Hotel. The speakers listed for the 2008 conference include everybody from rancher Yates Adcock to Texas A&M's Joe Outlaw to speakers from OSU, OU and the Noble Foundation and a lot more.

For more information and early registration info- we have the link to their website below- check it out.

Click here for more info on the Oklahoma GROW Conference 2008.


Our thanks to Midwest Farm Shows, Farm Credit Associations of Oklahoma and Producers Cooperative Oil Mill for their support of our daily Farm News Update. For your convenience, we have our sponsors' websites linked at the top of the email- check them out and let these folks know you appreciate the support of this daily email, as their sponsorship helps us keep this arriving in your inbox on a regular basis!

We also invite you to check out our website at the link below to check out an archive of these daily emails, audio reports and top farm news story links from around the globe.

Click here to check out WWW.OklahomaFarmReport.Com


Let's Check the Markets!
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OKC West in El Reno had more than 6000 cattle to sell on Wednesday this week- and prices came in steady to $2 lower for yearlings, while the calf market was called steady. Five to six hundred pound steer calves came in at $112 to 4120, while the seven to eight hundred pound yearlings rang the bell at $111 to $114.25. Here's the link to the full report from OKC West in El Reno.

Here are some links we will leave in place on an ongoing basis- Click on the name of the report to go to that link:
Our Daily Market Wrapup from the Radio Oklahoma Network with Ed Richards and Tom Leffler- analyzing the Futures Markets from the previous Day-
Ron on RON Markets as heard on K101 mornings with cash and futures reviewed- includes where the Cash Cattle market stands, the latest Feeder Cattle Markets Etc.
Previous Day's Wheat Market Recap- One Pager From Country Hedging- looks at all three US Wheat Futures Exchanges and the why of that day's market.
Daily Oklahoma Cash Grain Prices- As Reported by the Oklahoma Dept. of Agriculture. <
The National Daily Feeder & Stocker Cattle Summary- as prepared by USDA.
The National Daily Slaughter Cattle Summary- as prepared by USDA.
Finally, Here is the Daily Volume and Price Summary from the Texas Cattle Feeders Association.



God Bless! You can reach us at the following:
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phone: 405-473-6144
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