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Today's First Look:
mornings with cash and futures reviewed- includes where the Cash Cattle market stands, the latest Feeder Cattle Markets Etc.
Each afternoon we are posting a recap of that day's markets as analyzed by
Justin Lewis of KIS futures
click or tap here
for the report posted yesterday afternoon around 3:30 PM.
Okla Cash Grain:
Feeder Cattle Recap:
Slaughter Cattle Recap:
TCFA Feedlot Recap:
Our Oklahoma Farm Report Team!!!!
Ron Hays, Senior Farm Director and Editor
KC Sheperd, Associate Farm Director and Editor
Pam Arterburn, Calendar and Template Manager
Dave Lanning, Markets and Production
Kane Kinion, Web and Email Editorial Assistant
Oklahoma's Latest Farm and Ranch News
Your Update from Ron Hays of RON
Friday, January 3, 2020
On the first trading day of 2020, Oklahoma State University Extension Grain Market Economist
Dr Kim Anderson offers his first 2020 analysis of the hard red winter wheat market:
"The reason for the 56 cent wheat price increase may be projected tight wheat stocks in the Black Sea exporting countries (Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan), the lowest projected U.S. hard red winter (HRW) wheat stocks since 2015/16, a potential reduction
in harvested wheat acres in 2020/21, and potential wheat production problems in Russia and Ukraine.
"The December WASDE lowered U.S. wheat ending stocks by 40 million bushels (mb); 10 mb each for HRW and hard red spring (HRS) wheat and 20 mb for Durum wheat. Total U. S. wheat ending stocks are projected to be the lowest in five years. World wheat ending
stocks were increased 45 mb to a record 10.6 billion bushels. The world's wheat stocks-to-use ratio is projected to be 38.4 percent, which is the highest since 1968.
here to read more from Anderson regarding the first day of trading for 2020.
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Oklahoma had warm and mostly dry December weather that dashed any hopes of walking in a winter wonderland, including dreams of a white Christmas. Very little in the way of wintry weather was seen during the month, save for a couple of inches of snow in
the western Panhandle and a few bouts with freezing drizzle and fog. Christmas Day itself was the second warmest on record with a statewide average temperature of 57 degrees, topped only by 2016's 57.6 degrees and far removed from 1983's record cold of 4.7
degrees. Spring weather took up the slack for the dearth of winter excitement. A storm system moved through on December 27-28 and brought widespread beneficial rainfall across all 77 Oklahoma counties. Click
or tap here for highlights of Oklahoma weather month by month for 2019.
Severe weather struck eastern Oklahoma on the 28th and produced the year's final tornado near Broken Arrow. The twister - rated an EF0 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale - damaged power poles, trees and a few structures. The year's 147 tornadoes are the most
in Oklahoma since accurate records began in 1950, besting 1999's previous record total of 145. May's 105 tornadoes made up the bulk of the year's record total, also the highest count for any month on record in the state. Despite the record number, there were
no violent tornadoes - EF4 or EF5 - in the state during 2019.
According to preliminary data from the Oklahoma Mesonet, the statewide average precipitation total was 1.11 inches, 0.95 inches below normal to rank as the 47th driest December since records began in 1895. Far northwestern Oklahoma and the Panhandle enjoyed
small surpluses to rank as their 39th and 22nd wettest Decembers on record, respectively. The southeast's average total of 1.39 inches was 2.61 inches below normal to rank as their 14th driest. Only three of the Mesonet's 120 sites recorded more than 2 inches
of rain for the month, with Cookson leading the state at 2.36 inches. Mangum had the lowest total with 0.26 inches.
You can read more about the 2019 year in terms of drought for Oklahoma,
by jumping over to our website.
Oklahoma experienced warm and dry conditions during the month of December. Rainfall totals averaged 1.13 inches throughout the state for the full month, with the East Central district recording the highest precipitation at 1.45 inches and the Southwest
district recording the lowest at 0.78 of an inch. According to the December 31, US Drought Monitor Report, 10 percent of the state was in the moderate to exceptional drought categories, up 10 points from the previous year. Additionally, 4 percent of the state
was in the Severe to exceptional drought categories, up 4 points from the previous year. Statewide temperatures averaged in the low 40's, with the lowest recording of 8 degree at Kenton on Tuesday, December 17th and the highest recording of 77 degrees at Boise
City on Monday, December 23rd. Topsoil and subsoil moisture conditions were rated mostly adequate to short.
Small Grains: The 2020 Winter Wheat crop is rated 40% good to excellent, with another 41% rated in fair shape. That is five percentage points poorer than the December first Crop Report for Oklahoma released by NASS. Winter wheat grazed reached 40 percent.
Rye grazed reached 11 percent. Oats grazed reached 2 percent. There was no comparision to year ago conditions, as the Federal Government was in partial shutdown and no end of December report was issued.
Pasture and Livestock: Pasture and range condition was rated at 44 percent good to excellent, with another 43 percent called in fair condition. Livestock condition was rated at 72 percent in good to excellent shape.
or tap here to see the complete Oklahoma report.
Meanwhile, the 2020 Kansas Winter Wheat Crop is also rated 40% good to excellent, with another 39% rated in fair condition. That was an improvement in the good to excellent ratings of 2 points compared to the Deember 8th report released for Kansas. Click
or tap here to see the report dated December 31st from NASS for the state of Kansas.
There was no report released on Thursday afternoon for the state of Texas.
Casey Kinler is Communications Manager with the Animal Agriculture Alliance- she talked recently with our own
KC Sheperd about the need for cattle producers to tell their story via social media, and she says it's worth your time to learn to do that even if you are not an avid social media person, "Yeah I think you know they're not alone. A lot of people
don't like social media, but unfortunately, it's here to stay. So if you want your business to be here to stay as well, then you need to get on social media because that's where the consumers are. So get on there, it doesn't matter what age you are, it doesn't
matter if you're a beginner, have no clue how to do Facebook or Twitter, Instagram, you know you can start. So the Alliance has a lot of resources for those beginners to get started on social media."
Kinler says step one is to just to pick one platform and get started, "You don't need to be an expert at it you don't want to you know be an expert on all the different platforms. Start slow; you know the key is consistency, so you don't want to overwhelm
yourself. Just pick one platform. If you're not sure which one to pick, I would recommend Facebook. That's where most of the consumers are today. Get on there and really be yourself, you know, don't try to make up this whole you know persona just be yourself.
People want real people. They want to hear from real farmers, so just get on there and share what you do. A lot of times, it's not really about the content you share, it's about what values come across with that content. So just be yourself share what you're
doing. Take a step back and make sure that you know, Does this look bad? Is this going to raise some questions? Do I need to explain the picture further before you post it? So there's those types of things where you can reach out to the Animal Ag Alliance
With social media, producers can talk about their products, sell their products, and grow their business by reaching a new audience. Kinler says it's also an essential platform to squash rumors, "It's honestly not only a good opportunity to dispel some
of those myths out there that I think farmers and ranchers definitely get heated up about. But it's also a great way to grow your business. You know, if you want to market to the local population in your community, it's a great way for you to put yourself
on the map, put yourself in front of those people. A lot of people are very interested in food. Maybe they're a foodie, you know they follow a lot of food things on social media, but when you ask them you know, do you follow a farmer? They kind of look at
you like, oh, there are farmers on social media? So just getting out there. Put yourself in front of people, and you don't always have to be talking about farming, just talk about your everyday life. You know, if you're really into fitness or you're for book
club, you know you're really big into church, whatever it might be, find other ways to relate to those people and, you know, weaving the farming message throughout those messages."
You can listen to the entire conversation between Kinler and Sheperd on Thursday's Beef Buzz -
The vision of the Oklahoma Beef Council is to be a positive difference for Oklahoma's farming and ranching families and the greater beef community and its mission is to enhance beef demand by strengthening consumer trust and exceeding
consumer expectations. To learn more, visit www.oklabeef.org.
Also, don't forget to like its Facebook page at www.facebook.com/oklabeef
for stories on Oklahoma's ranching families and great beef recipes.
The Atrazine Preliminary Interim Decision (PID) document published today in the federal register supports EPA's commitment to use credible scientific research in setting a reasonable aquatic ecosystem Level of Concern (LOC) for atrazine. The interim decision
is positive for growers who rely on the atrazine for weed control, according to the Triazine Network, a coalition of agricultural organizations that advocates for science-based regulatory decisions regarding the triazine herbicides including atrazine.
The PID corrects a recommendation made in the 2016 Ecological Risk Assessment to set the LOC at 3.6 parts per billion, an ultra-low level that would have banned the use of atrazine in much of farm country. The lower LOC was based on questionable research,
including studies that had been turned down by EPA's 2012 Science Advisory Panel (SAP). Relying on several points of information, including EPA's SAP recommendations, the agency modified the LOC to 15 parts per billion over a 60-day average.
"This PID is good news for farmers across America," said Missouri Corn Growers Association CEO Gary Marshall, who chairs the Triazine Network. "Through our diverse coalition of grower organizations, we met with EPA Administrator Wheeler
and staff to provide specific details on why this product is tremendously important to farmers across the country, especially for weed control in conservation practices. From citrus to sorghum and corn to Christmas trees, farmers rely on the agency's use of
credible science to regulate the products that allow us to safely grow more with less for a hungry global population."
or tap here to read more about the Atrazine decision from the EPA.
U.S. Wheat Associates (USW) welcomes a new colleague to its Headquarters Office in Arlington, Va.
Shelbi Knisley joined the organization January 1, 2020, as Director of Policy. USW represents the interests of U.S. wheat farmers in export markets.
Knisley comes to USW after spending five years at the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Most recently, she worked in the Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) as a trade policy advisor for UN-FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations)
and OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development). In that role, she lead strategy and collaboration on policy covering nutrition, biotechnology, sustainability, antimicrobial resistance, CODEX, plant and animal health and agroecology. Her
time with USDA also included experience analyzing wheat markets for FAS and oilseed markets for the Economic Research Service (ERS).
"Shelbi's experience in international trade while at USDA and her analytical background makes her a valuable asset to USW's trade policy priorities," said
Dalton Henry, USW Vice President of Policy. "In addition to trade policy, she will be responsible for leading our work in food aid and wheat breeding innovation."
You can read more about Knisley and her new role with USW,
by clicking or tapping here.
Thursday, January 9th is the deadline for the early registration discount for Commodity Classic-America's largest farmer-led, farmer-focused agricultural and educational experience.
The 2020 Commodity Classic will be held Thursday, Feb. 27 through Saturday, Feb. 29 in San Antonio, Texas. To register, reserve hotel rooms and sign up for email updates, visit CommodityClassic.com. A complete schedule of events is also available on the
Established in 1996, Commodity Classic is unlike any other agriculture event, featuring a robust schedule of educational sessions, a huge trade show featuring the latest technology, equipment and innovation, top-notch entertainment, inspiring speakers
and the opportunity to
network with thousands of farmers from across the nation.
here to read more about the upcoming 2020 Commodity Classic.
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