Subject: Oklahoma's Farm News Update
From: Ron Hays <ronphays@cox.net>
Date: 8/11/2017 6:14 AM
To: ron@ronhays.com



 
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We invite you to listen to us on great radio stations across the region on the Radio Oklahoma Network weekdays- if you missed this morning's Farm News - or you are in an area where you can't hear it- click here for this morning's Farm news from Ron Hays on RON.
 

  
  
Let's Check the Markets!  
 
 
 
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Today's First Look:
mornings with cash and futures reviewed- includes where the Cash Cattle market stands, the latest Feeder Cattle Markets Etc.
  
  
Each afternoon we are posting a recap of that day's markets as analyzed by Justin Lewis of KIS futuresclick or tap here for the report posted yesterday afternoon around 3:30 PM.
 
  
Okla Cash Grain:  
Daily Oklahoma Cash Grain Prices- as reported by the Oklahoma Dept. of Agriculture on Thursday, August 10th.
  
  
Futures Wrap:  
Our Daily Market Wrapup from the Radio Oklahoma Network - analyzing the Futures Markets from the previous Day.
  
Feeder Cattle Recap:  
The National Daily Feeder & Stocker Cattle Summary- as prepared by USDA.
  
Slaughter Cattle Recap: 
The National Daily Slaughter Cattle Summary- as prepared by the USDA.
  
TCFA Feedlot Recap:  
Finally, here is the Daily Volume and Price Summary from the Texas Cattle Feeders Association.
  


  
Our Oklahoma Farm Report Team!!!!
  
Ron Hays, Senior Farm Director and Editor
 
Carson Horn, Associate Farm Director and Editor

Pam Arterburn, Calendar and Template Manager
  
Dave Lanning, Markets and Production

Oklahoma's Latest Farm and Ranch News

 
Your Update from Ron Hays of RON
    Friday, August 11, 2017


Howdy Neighbors! 

Here is your daily Oklahoma farm and ranch news update. 
 
Featured Story:
KimDr. Kim Anderson Reports World Wheat Production Up in WASDE Report, Markets React Negatively

SUNUP host Dave Deeken caught up with Extension Grain Market Economist Dr. Kim Anderson yesterday to get his reaction on the latest USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Crop Production reports, released this week.


According to Anderson, the combined information in these reports had a negative effect on the market, disappointing traders who were keeping their fingers crossed that world wheat production would be lower. Unfortunately, though, the foreign crops came in above expectations and caused market prices for wheat to "tank," he says.


Anderson quotes that world wheat production was raised 200 million bushels to 27.3 billion bushels, making it the second highest production on record, behind last year's of 27.7 billion bushels and 500 million bushels above the five year average.


While US wheat production was down about 550 million bushels, he says, foreign production (mostly the former Soviet Union states and the EU) more than made up for the loss by the US this year. Foreign production he quotes at a total 25.6 billion bushels.
 
 
Over the last few weeks, Anderson says wheat prices in Oklahoma have averaged around $4.10. After two years of depressed prices, Anderson believes Oklahoma could see even fewer acres planted in wheat this year.
 
 
SUNUP is on hiatus this week, but you can catch Anderson's full remarks on the WASDE report by clicking or tapping here.


Sponsor Spotlight
 
 
P&K Equipment is Oklahoma's premier John Deere dealership and your expert source for your John Deere equipment needs. P&K's long history with the John Deere brand and their 19-store strong network (10 in Oklahoma and 9 in Iowa) mean you have a powerhouse of resources and inventory right at your fingertips with pkequipment.com. Their all new website is built with YOU in mind- you can check out the latest promotions, shop the equipment, request a quote, value your trade, schedule service, shop parts online, and more! Go check it out today- you'll be glad you did! Because in Oklahoma, John Deere starts with P&K. 

CropProductionCorn and Soybean Numbers Bigger Than Trade Expected- Discounting of the Report Began in Record Time

 Corn production is forecast at 14.2 billion bushels, down 7 percent from last year. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 169.5 bushels per acre, down 5.1 bushels from 2016. If realized, this will be the third highest yield and production on record for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 83.5 million acres, unchanged from the June forecast but down 4 percent from 2016. The corn crop estimate is well above what the pre report trade estimate was pegged at- 13.7 billion bushels with a yield of 166.2 bushels per acre.

Much of the US Corn Belt came in under a year ago on yields- this graphic shows that very clearly:


Two of the three "I" States were under a year ago- and the third, Indiana- was even with a year ago yields.

Soybean production is forecast at 4.38 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 49.4 bushels per acre, down 2.7 bushels from last year. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at a record high 88.7 million acres, unchanged from the June forecast but up 7 percent from 2016. The larger number of acres was the key for soybeans- pushing a slightly lower yield than a year ago into record crop territory.

Markets were shocked at both the higher than expected corn and soybean yields and production. Corn and soybeans fell quickly on the bearish news.

Traders are still pondering how significantly lower crop ratings week to week do not translate into lower corn and soybean yields than what USDA released.

To take a look at the complete report released on Thursday- click or tap here.
 
RainfallRainfall Piles Up With More on the Way  
 

Lots of rain and some damaging winds have rolled across western and central Oklahoma over the last few hours- and more of that rain has been edging over into eastern Oklahoma.  Here's what we have had to date based on the data collected by the Oklahoma Mesonet:



Chickasha is the winner thus far of the most rainfall trophy with over five inches of rain and flooding a problem in Grady and Caddo Counties.

Looking ahead- we will almost certainly add to the rainfall totals as get into the weekend and early next week- courtesy of Jed Castles at News9- here's the nine day rainy outlook:



Lots of runoff- but also lots of recharging of soil profile ahead of wheat and canola planting in many locations.

Most farmers and ranchers will take August rainfall ANY TIME they can get it in our state.


A recent survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City - Omaha Branch revealed that the farm economy continued to soften during the 2nd Quarter. However, it also shows that the rate at which the economy is weakening has began to moderate.


The reports shows that while the rate at which farm loans are being repaid continued to decrease, it was less sharp of a decline seen in recent year, with only 37 percent of bankers that responded reporting a decrease. This is the lowest share since mid-2015, the Federal Reserve reports.


The same has been observed to be true in other measurements as well, including farm income and farm land values.


Concern is still being expressed, though, by agricultural lenders and borrowers, as the fall harvest approaches, particularly in regions with limited potential for high crop yields. However, bankers seem generally less pessimistic about economic conditions in the farm sector in the second quarter than in each of the past two years.
 
 
To read more highlights from this report, or to view the complete report for yourself, visit our website for the original story, with a link to the full report.

The Japanese government announced last month, that its so-called "safeguard mechanism" has been triggered by the amount of "frozen" beef that has been imported into their market by other countries, including the US. This mechanism, designed to protect Japan's domestic beef industry, will cause increased tariffs to come into effect from now until the end of next March. US Meat Export Federation CEO Phil Seng, this presents a problem for US beef exporters, who will now be forced to reduce the tonnage of frozen beef to Japan, and divert it back into the domestic market to be absorbed. Jim Robb of the Livestock Marketing Information Center told me, this frozen beef will most likely wind up being ground and added to our supply of hamburger. Meanwhile, the US will be left at a disadvantage to compete for market share in Japan, with nation's that signed on under the Trans-Pacific Partnership.


"The US is going to face those higher tariffs, but Australia and Mexico for example - because they have trade agreements with Japan, get to keep their rates unchanged," Robb said. "Australia for example, would be at about 27%, we'll be 50% and Mexico will be just over 30%. So, some countries are going to benefit and the US is going to lose a little bit."


The US won't be the only one losing out. Canada and New Zealand are also in the same boat as the US, with no trade agreement in the books. Japan's food service industry, though, also stands to lose out, as their "beef bowl" restaurants are heavily reliant on US short-ribs, which will now be forced to be cut back. President of the National Cattlemen's Beef Association Craig Uden, says he hopes this situation underscores to President Trump, the imperative necessity of striking a trade deal with Japan as soon as possible.


Listen in as I walk you through this developing situation in the global beef market, while the US cattle industry contemplates its options to ride out the next several months burdened by increased tariffs on frozen beef in Japan, on yesterday's Beef Buzz - click here.

Sponsor Spotlight
 
 
 
Midwest Farm Shows is proud to produce the two best Farm Shows in the State of Oklahoma annually- the Tulsa Farm Show each December and the Oklahoma City Farm Show each April.
 
They would like to thank all of you who participated in their 2017 Oklahoma City Farm Show. 
 
 
Up next will be the Tulsa Farm Show in December 2017- the dates are December 7th, 8th and 9th.  Now is the ideal time to contact Ron Bormaster at 507-437-7969 and book space at the 2017 Tulsa Farm Show.  To learn more about the Tulsa Farm Show, click here.  

Want to Have the Latest Energy News Delivered to Your Inbox Daily?
 

Award winning broadcast journalist Jerry Bohnen has spent years learning and understanding how to cover the energy business here in the southern plains- Click here to subscribe to his daily update of top Energy News.

 


In a memorandum of understanding, signed by both the American Farm Bureau Foundation for Agriculture and the National Ag In The Classroom Organization, the two groups established a partnership to foster better collaboration in creating a more agriculturally literate society.


"Farm Bureau has worked closely with National Agriculture in the Classroom for years to help students, teachers and parents learn about where food comes from and who grows it," said Foundation Chairman Zippy Duvall, who also serves as president of the American Farm Bureau Federation. "We look forward to building on our success through this official partnership."


As partners, the groups will work together to promote higher education and career opportunities in the food and agricultural sciences, and will provide resources to assist K-12 educators interested in integrating information about food and agriculture across curricula.


Willie Grenier, president of the National Agriculture in the Classroom Organization and executive director of Maine Agriculture in the Classroom said, "We're proud to have such a strong advocate of educating K-12 teachers and students about the importance of agriculture by our side, and look forward to a robust collaboration between our two organizations for many years to come."
 

Click or tap here to read more about the partnership's announcement up on our website.
BoyceGive Me Four Minutes and I Will Give You a Supersized Cup of Inspiration Running Over- Courtesy of Drake Boyce

Most of you that read this daily communication know my opinion of the FFA as the ultimate leadership development organization- and when you run across things like this video I am sharing with you this morning- I hope you can better understand my love for the Blue and Gold. 
 
 
 
Drake Boyce was the Oklahoma FFA State President in 2015-16 and has stayed involved with FFA as one of the leaders for the summer Alumni Camp the last couple of summers- he told his story at the recent Summer Conference for the Oklahoma Career Tech- and it's worth your time to watch- take a look:
 
 
Drak Boyce - His FFA Story
Drake Boyce - His FFA Story

AdamServices for Adam McClung Set for This Afternoon in Greenbrier, Arkansas
 
Funeral services for Adam McClung are set for this afternoon at 2 PM at the Springhill Baptist Church in Greenbrier, Ark. Adam was 37 when he died this past Sunday evening after a brief but severe illness.

According to the tribute to his life online- "He went to Eastern Oklahoma State College and Oklahoma State University on livestock judging scholarships, receiving his Bachelor's Degree in Animal Science with emphasis on Business and Agriculture Economics. He worked in the cattle industry almost his entire career. Starting as director of membership for the Arkansas Cattlemen's Association, Adam had a passion for the cattle industry and the farm and ranch families who made it all happen. He served for a year as the director of industry relations with the Oklahoma Beef Council before returning to Arkansas Cattlemen's Association in 2009 to serve as the executive vice president."

He was loved and respected in Arkansas- his second home state of Oklahoma and even nationally as a rising star in the beef cattle industry leadership.  Beef cattle leaders from across the US will pay tribute to Adam this afternoon- and even if you cannot attend the Memorial- you can offer your tribute and thanks to Adam on the page created by the family to do so- it also has details about a couple of funds that have been set up if you care to give a memorial gift- click or tap here for that page.


Our thanks to Midwest Farms Shows, P & K EquipmentAmerican Farmers & Ranchers, Livestock Exchange at the Oklahoma National StockyardsOklahoma Farm BureauStillwater Milling Company, Oklahoma AgCreditthe Oklahoma Cattlemens Association and  KIS Futures for their support of our daily Farm News Update. For your convenience, we have our sponsors' websites linked here- just click on their name to jump to their website- check their sites out and let these folks know you appreciate the support of this daily email, as their sponsorship helps us keep this arriving in your inbox on a regular basis- at NO Charge!


We also appreciate our Market Links Sponsor - OKC West Livestock! 
 
 
We invite you to check out our website at the link below too that includes an archive of these daily emails, audio reports and top farm news story links from around the globe.   
 

 
God Bless! You can reach us at the following:  
 
phone: 405-473-6144
 

 




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