USDA Calls Oklahoma Wheat Crop 115.5 Million Bushels- Nine Percent Bigger Than May Estimate and Seventeen Percent Bigger Than 2015Fri, 10 Jun 2016 15:05:58 CDT
The USDA has jumped the size of the 2016 Oklahoma winter wheat crop by 9.5% in their June report, compared to the data released a month ago. On Friday, the USDA Crop Production report predicted an Oklahoma Wheat Crop that will total 115.5 million bushels, up from the 105.6 million bushels estimated in May. The 2016 crop estimate, if realized, would be 17% larger than the final 2015 production of 98.8 million bushels.
The agency left their estimate alone about the number of acres that they believe will be harvested for grain this season at 3.3 million acres. The Oklahoma increase comes in a higher bushels per acre estimate of 35 bushels per acre in the June report, versus 33 bushels per acre in the May report. The 2016 crop is on track to be 144% above the historically bad crop of 2014, when only 47.6 million bushels was harvested from Oklahoma wheat fields.
The 115.5 million bushels is much closer to the 120 million bushels predicted in early May by Crop Scouts that gathered at the 2016 Oklahoma Grain and Feed Association Annual Meeting in Oklahoma City. The USDA June estimate allows Oklahoma to break a tie seen in May with the state of Washington as the second largest winter wheat producing state- Oklahoma is now in sole possession of second place, behind Kansas.
Texas saw a modest bump up in the size of the 2016 crop from May to June, with USDA increasing their wheat crop estimate for the Lone Star State from 84 million bushels to 89.6 million bushels in the June 10th report. The big jump in the hard red winter wheat belt was seen in Kansas, as USDA is predicting an 11.6% increase in the size of Kansas wheat production from May to June- going from 352.6 million bushels up to 393.6 million bushels in this latest report. Kansas wheat farmers are now expected to harvest 48 bushels per acre, versus the May guess of 43 bushels per acre and the 2015 yield of 37 bushels per acre. Kansas farmers are headed to a 22% larger wheat crop this season versus 2015 if the USDA numbers prove accurate.
Nationally, the US Winter Wheat Crop is forecast at 1.51 billion bushels, up 6 percent from the May 1 forecast and up 10 percent from 2015.
Based on June 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 50.5 bushels per acre, up 2.7 bushel from last month and up 8 bushels from last year. If realized, this will be the highest yield on record for the United States.
To view the complete USDA June Crop Production report, click here.
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