Agricultural News
USDA Sees a Thirty Five Percent Smaller Oklahoma Wheat Crop in 2017 at 89 Million Bushels
Wed, 10 May 2017 12:54:29 CDT
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.25 billion bushels, down 25 percent from 2016. As of May 1, the United States yield is forecast at 48.8 bushels per acre, down 6.5 bushels from last year's record yield of 55.3 bushels per acre. The May Crop Production Report Predicts an Oklahoma Wheat harvest of 89 Million bushels in 2017, compared to 136 million bushels in 2016.
Hard Red Winter production, at 737 million bushels, is down 32 percent from a year ago. Soft Red Winter, at 297 million bushels, is down 14 percent from 2016. White Winter, at 212 million bushels, is down 13 percent from last year. Of the White Winter production, 16.8 million bushels are Hard White and 195 million bushels are Soft White.
USDA is calling the southern Great Plains wheat crop much smaller than a year ago- with the Kansas crop cut by 39%, Oklahoma by 35% and Texas by 23%. The Kansas crop is in danger of falling even more, since the snow event of last week ocurred after the first of May, which this USDA report is based on- the conditions as of May first.
For Oklahoma, the USDA report falls short of the 2017 OKlahoma Wheat Crop Estimate made by the Oklahoma Grain and Feed Association last week. The major difference between the USDA and the OGFA are the number of acres they believe will be harvested. The industry guesstimate was thinking 2.97 million acres will be harvested, while USDA sees only 2.7 million acres being cut for grain- USDA sees a yield of 33 bushels per acre while the guess by the industry last week was pegged at 33.7 bushels per acre- The OGFA estimate for Oklahoma was 100.14 million bushels while USDA sees only 89.1 million bushels that will be combined- if their estimate is realized. The 2017 Oklahoma crop has a fifteen percent smaller yield predicted in 2017 versus 2016's record of 39 bushels per acre.
The Kansas crop is seen slightly higher by USDA compared to the estimate put out by the Wheat Quality Council of last Thursday- the Wheat Quality Council offered a guess of 281.7 million bushels while USDA predicts- as of May first- a crop in Kansas totalling 289.8 million bushels. USDA did not consider any damage to the Kansas crop from the snow that hit the western third of that state just after May first- while crop scouts attempted to factor in some of that damage while not actually measuring fields that were covered in snow as they traveled in that part of the state. USDA sees a far smaller yield per acre in Kansas this season versus last when the state averaged 57 bushels per acre- this year that number is predicted to be 42 bushels per acre, a drop of 26 percent.
The Texas wheat crop for 2017 is predicted by USDA at 69 million bushels- compared to the 89.6 million bushels that were produced in 2017- the yield this season is predicted to to be 2 bushels per acre smaller compared to 2016, while USDA sees a drop of 500,000 acres harvested this year versus last.
Click here to review the complete Crop Production report released this morning by USDA.
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