Despite Some Decline in Prices, Stocker Markets are Holding Up Well as Seasonal Pressures MountWed, 20 Sep 2017 10:17:34 CDT
The price of stocker calves has been comparatively a bit cheaper so far, this week. But overall, according to Oklahoma State University Extension Livestock Market Economist Dr. Derrell Peel who spoke with Ron Hays, Radio Oklahoma Ag Network farm director, prices have held up pretty well here in the later stages of 2017.
“Whether you look in Kansas or Oklahoma, we’re seeing these feeder cattle prices move a little bit higher,” Peel said. “I think that’s directly a function of the good forage conditions we’ve got now.”
Typically, this time of year, Peel says the seasonal pattern is for calf prices to gradually decline from about August through to the seasonal low in October. However, there is still a lot of variation from one year to the next. Peel suggests in years of good, early forage conditions - prices may very well move a little higher during September, or at least hold steady, if demand is ahead of the fall run of calves. Peel believes that if the current forage condition and demand for stockers remains strong, the seasonal weakness of October may be limited. In the end, though, he predicts markets will eventually succumb to the pressures of a larger incoming calf crop.
“We know the fall run of calves will have a relatively larger supply,” he said. “I suspect at the end, we’ll see that prevail with some seasonally lower prices. But, that may not happen until we get into October as opposed to the next two to three weeks.”
Listen to Dr. Derrell Peel’s analysis of the current stocker market and his outlook for this fall, with Ron Hays, on today’s Beef Buzz.
The Beef Buzz is a regular feature heard on radio stations around the region on the Radio Oklahoma Network and is a regular audio feature found on this website as well. Click on the LISTEN BAR below for today's show and check out our archives for older Beef Buzz shows covering the gamut of the beef cattle industry today.
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