June First Wheat Harvest Estimates Show Bigger Kansas and Texas Wheat Crop Versus May- But a Slightly Smaller Oklahoma CropThu, 10 Jun 2021 13:24:28 EDT
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.31 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the May 1 forecast and up 12 percent from 2020. As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 53.2 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from last month and up 2.3 bushels from last year’s average yield of 50.9 bushels per acre.
Hard Red Winter production, at 771 million bushels, is up 6 percent from last month. Much of that is because of a huge jump up in Kansas month to month estimates. The 2021 June first estimate for the Kansas hard red winter wheat crop is 358 million bushels, up eight percent from a month ago. The Oklahoma June first estimate was actually down three percent from May first- from 108 million bushels to 105 million bushels. NASS predicts that the Kansas crop see 6.9 million acres harvested for grain- and a 52 bushel per acre average yield.
The Oklahoma crop showed an unchanged expected number of acres that will be combined at 2.7 million acres, while USDA dropped the expected bushels per acre yield from 40 to 39 bushels from May to June. The yield decrease was the key to the slight drop in Oklahoma HRW wheat production being predicted by USDA. The final 2020 Oklahoma wheat crop estimate was 104 million bushels- meaning the 105.3 million bushels for 2021 would be just slightly above last year's crop.
The Texas winter wheat crop, like the Kansas crop, saw an increase from May to June, with the June first estimate standing at 64.6 million bushels, up 6.5% from the May estimate from USDA. The Texas crop is based on 1.9 million acres and a 34 bushel per acre yield.
Click or tap here to review the complete report as released on Thursday morning by USDA.
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