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US Wheat Associates Weekly Harvest Report for July 9, 2021
Fri, 09 Jul 2021 11:04:19 CDT
Despite delays due to rain and humidity, HRW harvest is now progressing in 8 states with 188 samples in the lab for testing. With favorable weather, the SRW harvest is nearly 80% complete. The PNW continues to trend hot and dry as harvest begins on SW winter wheat. The HRS crop continues to mature at a faster than normal pace as the region struggles with prolonged drought. The northern durum growing region also needs rain.
Click here to read this weeks full harvest report.
HARD RED WINTER
• Crop Progress: Harvest progress was slow this week with scattered rains and high humidity; 28% of the sampling area is
harvested. Remaining acres in Texas and Oklahoma will likely go to feed channels due to potential quality issues. By state:
Texas 92%; Oklahoma 95%; and Kansas 73%; Colorado 11%; Nebraska 16%; South Dakota 8%; and Oregon and Idaho are
5% or less harvested.
• Crop Conditions: USDA's HRW crop condition ratings held steady this past week with 36% of the crop rated good to
excellent. The lack of moisture and heat continues to stress the crop in the northern and PNW growing regions.
• Weather: The Great Plains are experiencing scattered precipitation and high humidity, while high temperatures, no
precipitation, and wildfires are trending in the PNW.
• Wheat Data: There are 188 samples from Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas in various stages of testing. Thus far, moisture is
lower than last year while 1000 kernel weight is higher. Test weights are strong but trending lower due to precipitation.
SOFT RED WINTER
• Crop Progress: Harvest progressed rapidly through the region with approximately 20% of the sampled crop remaining.
• Crop Conditions: This week's NASS report indicated the crop ranged from 48% good to excellent in North Carolina to 78%
in Indiana. Overall, the 2021 SRW crop is expected to be high yielding and average to good quality.
• Weather: Much of the growing region experienced favorable weather this past week though significant amounts of rain
fell in Missouri and Indiana.
• Wheat Data: Testing has been completed on 182 samples from across the region with little to no change in overall data.
Falling number value is slightly lower than 2020 but is recovering with samples from drier areas.
• Flour Data: Very early flour data has shown a decrease in lab milling yield for North Carolina and Tennessee compared to
last year, but higher for Kentucky. Thus far, farinograph absorption is slightly lower than last year with equal to
slightly lower bake volumes; internal bread scores are slightly lower; and the cookie W/T has been equal to slightly higher.
SOFT WHITE
• Crop Progress: The entire SW crop is headed out in Oregon and Washington while 78% is in Idaho. In the drier areas,
winter wheat harvest is underway with Oregon at 5%, Idaho 4% and Washington 1%.
• Crop Conditions: Only 17% of the PNW soft white crop is rated good to excellent, down from last week. With
compounding pressures from drought and heat, producers expect below average yields and above average protein.
• Weather: Last week's historic heat wave further stressed the crop as temperatures are expected to remain above average
with no precipitation forecast. There are an increasing number of wildfires reported as drought continues in the region.
HARD RED SPRING
• Crop Progress: The HRS crop continues to head out (70%) at a faster pace than normal.
• Crop Conditions: The major HRS producing states saw another decline in crop condition ratings this past week from 20%
to 16% in good to excellent condition the lowest in decades, raising abandonment, yield and quality concerns. Producers
report some fields look good, depending on planting date and moisture received.
• Diseases/Pest Pressure: Grasshoppers and sawfly have been noted and are being monitored.
• Weather: This week's rain and cooler weather will help stabilize crop conditions. Average temperatures with little to no
precipitation are forecast.
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