US Wheat Associates Weekly Harvest Report for August 13, 2021Fri, 13 Aug 2021 08:49:41 CDT
Here's the weekly harvest report from US Wheat Associates for August 13, 2021
The HRW harvest is nearly complete with data holding steady. SW harvest continues apace under hot, dry conditions; testing data are reflective of a stressed crop. HRS harvest is over 50% complete and initial sample data show test weight average of 62.0 lb/bu (81.5 kg/hl) and average protein 15.4% (12% mb). The northern durum crop is just under 10% harvested with variable yields reported.
HARD RED WINTER
• Crop Progress: The 2021 U.S. HRW harvest is winding down with less than 5% of the sampled crop remaining.
• Crop Conditions: The HRW fields left to harvest are drought stressed. As thoughts turn to fall planting, much of the HRW
production region will need rain to generate sufficient soil moisture for the next crop.
• Weather: The PNW is experiencing another heatwave as temperatures are expected to exceed 105°F (41°C), well above
normal. Concern about soil moisture for the next crop in the PNW and Northern Plains is growing. According to USDA,
subsoil moisture for Washington is 95% poor to very poor; Montana 94%; Oregon 90%; North Dakota 89%; South Dakota
84%; Minnesota 82% and Idaho 78%.
• Wheat Data: There are now 436 samples in various stages of testing, with no change in data this week except for falling
number, which decreased slightly to 367 seconds. Single kernel diameter is currently 2.58 mm and hardness 61. On 118
samples, sedimentation is 48 cc compared to 52 in 2020. Milling has begun on 70 composites formed from 29 grainsheds
broken out by protein level.
SOFT RED WINTER:
Crop Progress:Only areas producing SRW for domestic use in northern states remain to be harvested. USDA estimates
total 2021/22 production at 362 mil bu (9.9 MMT).
• Weather: Most of the SRW production region continues to have adequate soil moisture with seeding likely to start by
• Wheat Data: Falling number is similar to last year’s average with lower scores from Arkansas and North Carolina. Test
weight average is relatively unchanged from last year at 59.57 lb/bu. The TKW is good this year and higher than last year
and the crop grades No. 2 SRW again this year. The average vomitoxin on the composite samples from each area is 0.722
• Flour Data: Bread volume and crumb grain are both down slightly this year. Average grain score in 2020 was 5.7 and this
year it is 4.6. Cookie w/t factor is up slightly in 2021 to 10.682. The highest w/t factor was in eastern Virginia, 11.53, and
the lowest was Kentucky at 10.06. Farinograph absorption is similar. In 2020 the absorption was 52.6 and this year it is
• Crop Progress: The SW harvest continues at a fast pace with approximately 93% of the winter crop harvested and 56% of
the spring crop harvested.
• Weather: The region remains dry and is once again experiencing 100°F+ (38°C+) temperatures. With regional subsoil
moisture levels at 56% short and 32% very short, growers are hoping for any moisture ahead of seeding the next winter
• Wheat Data: Composite results from 191 samples now in various stages of testing show the current grade of No. 2 SW
with protein of 11.3% (12% mb) above the 5-year average of 9.8. The high protein, low moisture and lower test weight
values reflect the extreme heat and drought conditions. For buyers, this will be a good year to better understand SW
protein performance verses protein levels; your local USW representative can help.
HARD RED SPRING
• Crop Progress: With dry conditions, harvest is progressing rapidly in South Dakota (72% per USDA), Montana (35%),
Minnesota (76%) and North Dakota (24%). Abandonment or baling poor HRS fields for livestock feed is happening but no
official estimate is available.
• Crop Conditions: HRS conditions reflect the ongoing drought with only 11% of the remaining crop in good to excellent
condition. Industry sources report better than expected quality while low yields are reflective of heat and drought stress;
producers are having to choose between harvesting low yielding fields or baling for feed.
• Weather: Warm, dry conditions are expected to continue over the next 10 days.
• Wheat Data: Approximately 19% of the samples have been collected and analyzed for this week’s report. Test weight
average is 62.0 lb/bu (81.5 kg/hl) compared to the 2020 final average of 61.8 lb/bu (81.3 kg/hl). Current average protein is
15.4% (12% mb), up from last year’s 14.3%. Falling number average is over 400 seconds, indicating a sound crop. Average
vitreous kernel content is 86% to make the average grade of the crop at this time U.S. No. 1 Dark Northern Spring (1 DNS).
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