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Agricultural News

Beef and Cattle Trade Boosting Cattle Markets

Mon, 10 Jan 2022 19:06:34 CST

Beef and Cattle Trade Boosting Cattle Markets Weekly, Derrell Peel, extension livestock marketing specialist for Oklahoma State University, offers his expertise in the cattle industry. This is a part of the weekly series known as the "Cow-Calf Corner" published electronically by Paul Beck. Today, Peel talks about U.S. beef exports.

Beef exports continued on a record pace in the latest data for November. Total beef exports were up 8.1% in November and are up 18.5% year over year for the first eleven months of the year. The China/Hong Kong market remains the fastest growing beef export market, up 110.0% for the year-to-date. The China/HK market is the third largest market accounting for 19.3% share of total beef exports through November, behind number one Japan (24.2% share) and number two South Korea at 23.0% of year-to-date exports. Beef exports to Mexico are up 7.0% so far in 2021 but were down 36.7 year over year in the month of November. Exports to Canada were up 20.9% year over year in November but are down 4.7% for the January-November period.

Total beef imports were 27.5% higher year over year in November but are down 1.8% for the year-to-date for the January-November period. Beef imports from Canada were up 14.4% for the first eleven months of the year. Canada is currently the largest source of beef imports, accounting for 28.6% of beef imports thus far in 2021. Mexico is the second ranked beef import source with year-to-date imports up slightly at 0.3% compared to last year. Mexico accounts for 20.1% of beef imports through November. Year-to-date beef imports from New Zealand through November were down 1.7% with the country the third largest beef import source at 15.5 of total beef imports in 2021. Australia is currently the fourth largest source of beef imports, accounting for 12.4% of imports and down from second place in 2020. Year-to-date beef imports from Australia through November were down 38.9% year over year.

Live cattle imports from both Canada and Mexico were down for the first eleven months of 2021. Total cattle imports were down 17.0% with imports from Canada down 7.1% and Mexico down 21.9% for the year-to-date. Cattle exports were higher to Canada and Mexico by 69.1% year over year for the January to November period in 2021. Net cattle imports through November were down 32.0% compared to the previous year.

Beef by-products, which are mostly exported, had significantly higher value in 202, averaging nearly 54% higher year over year. By-product value increases were led by sharply higher tallow prices, both edible and inedible, (up 71 and 95%, respectively) and hide prices (up 62% year over year). Prices were also higher for liver, tongue, tripe and cheek meat. Weekly by-product values peaked in November and declined to the end of the year but were still 51% higher year over year in late December.

Beef and cattle trade is projected to be generally supportive in 2022. Beef exports are forecast to pull back slightly in the coming year, but lower imports are also forecast this year. After more than a year of extremely rapid growth, the China/HK market for U.S. beef was growing at a slower pace at the end of 2021, but continued growth is expected and could push China/HK above South Korea or possibly Japan in the foreseeable future.



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