USDA Predicts Falling Cattle, Hog and Broiler Prices for 2015 and 2016Thu, 13 Aug 2015 05:23:39 CDT
While the major focus of the monthly WASDE report is usually on the grain and oilseed numbers- the livestock portion of the August 2015 report showed falling livestock prices for cattle, hogs and chicken. Pork production is expected to remain the same while beef and broiler production is expected to be smaller- even in the face of falling prices.
Here are the highlights of the livestock side of the report released midday on Wednesday:
Beef production for 2015 and 2016 is lowered due to a combination of slower marketings of fed cattle and reduced cow slaughter.
The beef export forecasts for 2015 and 2016 are lowered from last month on the relative strength of the dollar and expectations of weak demand. Beef imports are raised on strength in demand for processing-grade beef.
Cattle prices for 2015 and 2016 are reduced from last month on weaker demand. Steer prices in 2015 are now expected to average $154 to $158 per hundredweight in 2015, down from $158 to $162 forecast last month. Steer prices in 2016 are now expected to average $150 to $162, down from $155 to $167 forecast last month.
Pork production forecasts for 2015 and 2016 are unchanged.
Hog prices are reduced for 2015, as supplies are large. Barrows and gilts (live equivalent 51-52 percent lean) are expected to average $49 to $50 per hundredweight, down $1 from last month. The price forecast for 2016 is unchanged at $46 to $49.
Broiler production for 2015 is lowered from last month as growth in the number of eggs set and chicks placed has slowed. Weaker forecast broiler prices are expected to limit production growth as well. No change is made to 2016 production.
Broiler prices are lowered for both 2015 and 2016 on competition from relatively lower red meat prices. Broiler prices in 2015 are now expected to average 95 cents to 97 cents per pound, down from 99 cents to $1.02 forecast last month. In 2016, broiler prices are now expected to average 94 cents to $1.02 per pound, down from 99 cents to $107 forecast last month.
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