More Corn Acres to be Planted Highlight the 2016 Prospective Plantings Report from USDAThu, 31 Mar 2016 16:51:38 CDT
American farmers expect to plant an additional 5.6 million acres of corn in 2016, a six percent increase from 2015, according the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Prospective Plantings report released today. If realized, total corn plantings in the United States would total 93.6 million acres for the highest planted acreage since 2013. Notably, it would also be the third-largest U.S. corn acreage planted since 1944. The USDA number is well above trade expectations for this report.
"U.S. farmers produced an abundant crop in 2015. Given the strong carryover entering this growing season, we may see quite a large corn supply at harvest should weather prove favorable in 2016," National Corn Growers Association President Chip Bowling said. "While many factors may change the reality on the ground as planting progresses, American corn supplies should remain ample for the year to come. Given the impact this continues to have on prices, the work being done at NCGA to grow demand will prove even more important as we work to find markets for our product and remain profitable into the future."
The USDA's estimate for 2016 is for 93.6 million acres to be planted in field corn. Assuming the five-year average 91.3 percent harvest rate and the projected 25-year trend yield of 165.4 bushels per acre is achieved, farmers will harvest 14.13 billion bushels, nearing the production record of 14.2 billion bushels set in 2014.
Of the major corn-producing states, the largest increases in planted acreage are expected to be in Kansas, North Dakota, Iowa and Illinois. The largest percentage increases are expected in southern states such as Louisiana, Arkansas and Mississippi. No major corn-producing states expect decreases in acreage from what was planted in 2015. Oklahoma will increasecorn acres 16% over last year to 360,000 acres.
Looking at some of the other crops that USDA offered prospective plantings on...
Grain sorghum acres are expected to fall in 2016 versus 2015 by a significant fifteen percent, down to 7.2 million acres after 2015 saw 8.4 million acres planted. Oklahoma is the third largest sorghum state in the US, with expected plantings of 420,000 acres this year, off five percent from 2015.
The honeymoon for canola plantings is over, with canola acres pegged at 90,000 acres this spring, off 36% from the 140,000 acres of a year ago and off 67% from the 270,000 acres of 2014.
Soybean planted area for 2016 is estimated at 82.2 million acres, down less than 1 percent from last year. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are down or unchanged in 23 of the 31 estimating States. Oklahoma farmers are looking to cut soybean acres this year by 11% to 350,000 acres.
All wheat planted area for 2016 is estimated at 49.6 million acres, down 9 percent from 2015. The 2016 winter wheat planted area, at 36.2 million acres, is down 8 percent from last year and down 1 percent from the previous estimate. Of this total, about 26.2 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 6.60 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.37 million acres are White Winter.
The Oklahoma hard red winter wheat plantings total five million acres this year, off six percent from a year ago.
All cotton planted area for 2016 is estimated at 9.56 million acres, 11 percent above last year. Upland area is estimated at 9.35 million acres, up 11 percent from 2015. American Pima area is estimated at 215,000 acres, up 36 percent from 2015. Oklahoma is one of several states expanding acres for cotton, with water available from Lake Altus Lugert a major incentive for farmers in that irrigation district, after several years of having no water available. Lake Altus did provide some water in 2015 to growers, but many had already made other planting plans by the time they knew they might have water from the lake in 2015.
The Oklahoma cotton acreage is predicted to be 270,000 acres, up 26% from 2015.
To review the Prospective Plantings report, click here.
To review the Grain Stocks report, also released Thursday morning by USDA, click here.
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